Orewa on Steroids

Politically motivated my arse. This is the last thing Labour would have wanted on the front page again.

My predictions in the lead up to the election:

1) Labour will distance themselves from 'extremist' activists and be praying Iti's charges are dealt with quickly.

2) National support will grow the longer pro-Iti/Tuhoe demonstrations go on.

3) The Green and the Maori Parties will continue:

• to bang on about our 'Police State' stepping over the line appealing to their anti establishment supporters


• their deafening silence regarding the reasons why warrants were issued and breaches of firearms and other laws, unless by police


• alienating their moderate liberal voters who support sustainability and Maori aspirations rather than Jamie Lockett and Tama Iti

4) NZ First and ACT will agree, but no bets on this.

5) Tuhoe will get not get their wish until after the election, but watch for win-win changes whether N or L get back courtesy of MMP.